How quick and big would a software intelligence explosion be?

forethought.org

Forethought paper modeling software intelligence explosion: 60% chance of >3 years progress in <1 year.

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tecunningham.github.io Tom Cunningham Mar 13, 2026

Tom Cunningham blog

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CS 2881 AI Safety

CS 2881 AI Safety Sep 4, 2025

Fall 2025 - Harvard

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AI Futures Project Daniel Kokotajlo; Eli Lifland; Brendan Halstead; Alex Kastner Dec 31, 2025

We've significantly improved our model of AI timelines and takeoff speeds!

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