GeistHaus
log in · sign up

AI Futures Model: Dec 2025 Update

blog.ai-futures.org

We've significantly improved our model of AI timelines and takeoff speeds!

7 pages link to this URL
Against the METR graph
Transformer Nathan Witkin

METR’s benchmark has become a bellwether of AI capability growth, but its design isn’t up to the task, argues Nathan Witkin

2 inbound links article en
Interesting articles, December 2025
Militant Futurist Eddie

Putin still thinks he can take over all of Ukraine, and once he’s done, he wants to start conquering other countries that used to be part of the USSR. In the first attack of its kind, Ukraine…

0 inbound links article en futurismmilitarysciencetechnologyUncategorized futurismmilitarysciencetechnology