Bayesian Investor Blog
Ramblings of a somewhat libertarian stock market speculator
Forecasting the Economic Effects of AI – Forecasting Research Institute
forecastingresearch.orgWe surveyed academic economists, AI experts, and superforecasters to produce the most comprehensive picture yet of how AI could reshape the U.S. economy. Respondents also evaluated the impact of six different policies intended to address the impact of rapid AI progress.
FRI’s Forecast of AI Impacts
I participated, as a superforecaster, in the Forecasting Research Institute (FRI) Forecasting the Economic Effects of AI survey. They’ve published their results in this 224 page paper. My pri…