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LLMs are a 400-year-long confidence trick

tomrenner.com

In 1623 the German Wilhelm Schickard produced the first known designs for a mechanical calculator. Twenty years later Blaise Pascal produced a machine of an improved design, aiming to help with the large amount of tedious arithmetic required in his role as a tax collector. The interest in mechanical calculation showed no sign of reducing in the subsequent centuries, as generations of people worldwide followed in Pascal and Wilhelm’s footsteps, subscribing to their view that offloading mental energy to a machine would be a relief.

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LLMs are a weird thing

LLMs are a weird thing. You can love and hate them at the same time. I’ve come to realize that LLMs can indeed be valuable tools, but they also disrupt programming as a craft in ways that aren’t immediately obvious. The real insight isn’t whether LLMs are good or bad. It’s that their value is highly circumstantial and depends entirely on the expertise of the person wielding them. The Vibe Coding Illusion # LinkedIn is full of AI advocates and project managers celebrating their vibe-coding successes. One is almost inclined to believe their stories. But very often these people are judging a book by its cover without knowing what is written inside. If software does what you want and you created it via vibe-coding, what’s the complaint?

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